How it works
Accurate confidence earns more. Misplaced certainty costs points.
Scoring
points = 100 × [1 − (p − outcome)²]
80% Yes, and Yes happens96.0 pts
80% Yes, and No happens36.0 pts
50%, whatever happens75.0 pts
- Round score: average across resolved, non-void questions.
- Season score: sum of completed rounds — showing up matters.
- Equal scores share a rank. Incomplete standings are marked provisional.
- Host comparisons only use questions you both answered.